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JORGEN RANDERS 2052 PDF

Tuesday, May 21, 2019


J Randers 1. NORWEGIAN BUSINESS SCHOOL. –. A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Climate Strategy. Jorgen Randers is Professor of Climate. Strategy at the BI Norwegian Business. School. He is a non-executive member of a number of corporate boards in. J Randers 1. NORWEGIAN BUSINESS SCHOOL. -. A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Climate Strategy.


Jorgen Randers 2052 Pdf

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NORWEGIAN BUSINESS SCHOOL. –. A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Climate Strategy. –. A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Source: Jorgen Randers, , Chelsea Green, Vermont, -. A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. J. R d. Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Climate Strategy. Norwegian Business School.

Adaptation and disaster costs will explode. The state will become more involved.

Consumption will stagnate and decline in some places. Forecast on energy and CO2 Energy efficiency will continue to increase. Energy demand is expected to rise, but not indefinitely.

CO2 emissions from energy consumption will peak in The average global temperature will rise by more than two degrees, causing serious problems. Forecast on nutrition and ecological footprint The race for natural resources will be hard, the biocapacity of the world will be exploited more and more. The cities will become richer sources of raw materials for metal than the mineral deposits in nature urban mining.

Capitalist markets, however, always favor the least-cost option. This in turn, does not favor clean technologies; they may be cheaper in the long term, but require higher investment, learning costs etc.

In principle, governments could address these shortcomings through regulation. However, there are only few instances where a democratic majority has decided in favor of such regulation; usually, regulatory capture by interest groups prevents such regulation in the first place or makes sure that policy measure come with so many exemptions that they are ineffective.

There are some examples to the contrary; for example, Germany and a few other countries have adopted policies for renewable energy support with a long-term orientation.

The EU Commission, for some time, has been able to formulate environmental policies of considerable scope and ambition - although arguably it was able to do so acting in a democratic vacuum.

However, these have remained exceptions. As a solution, he proposed removing climate policy from day-to-day politics. The cities will become richer sources of raw materials for metal than the mineral deposits in nature urban mining. In the same way that zoos have already become the last refuge for many endangered species, parks will assume this role for nature in general.

The non-physical future Randers argues that the global gross domestic product will fail to increase as it has in the past because of population decline, general aging and declining productivity growth. The Internet will give rise to a completely new understanding of what is private and public.

Knowledge will not be a scarce resource any more, but this will not lead to more rational decisions in most cases because knowledge on its own is not sufficient to change behavior when strong interests are involved.

Therefore, it is likely that a "greenkeeping force" will be set up to enforce environmentally positive behavior, similar to the peacekeeping forces blue berets of today.

In short words he states: [3] Concretely, in order to create a better world for our grandchildren, we should: Have fewer children, especially in the rich world.

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Reduce the ecological footprint , first by slowing the use of coal, oil and gas in the rich world. Construct a low-carbon energy system in the poor world, paid for by the rich.Energy demand is expected to rise, but not indefinitely.

Will there be too many people? He expects the world economy to grow much slower than most, because it will be harder to increase productivity at the same rate as has occurred in the last four decades.

Reduce the ecological footprint , first by slowing the use of coal, oil and gas in the rich world. More services and features. Consumption will stagnate and decline in some places.